ShelfCalc

Shrink rate calculator

Compare what your records say you should have with what you actually counted. Get shrink in dollars, as a percent of sales, and the sales it takes to make it back.

$
Book inventory, at cost.
$
Physical count, at cost.
$
%

How it works

Shrink is inventory you paid for but can't sell or account for: theft, damage, spoilage, vendor short-ships and paperwork errors. You find it by comparing what your records say you should have with what's actually on the shelf.

Shrink = Book inventory − Physical count
Shrink as % of sales = Shrink ÷ Sales for the same period
Sales needed to make it back = Shrink ÷ Gross margin

Retailers usually report shrink as a percentage of sales, which makes it easy to compare across stores and periods of different sizes.

Example. Your records show $52,000 of inventory at cost. The count comes in at $50,700. Shrink is $1,300.

With $210,000 in sales over the same period, that's 0.62% of sales, or 2.5% of the inventory.

At a 30% gross margin, you'd need $4,333 in extra sales just to earn back the $1,300.

Why the last number matters

A missing item doesn't just cost you its price. You have to sell several more just to replace the profit. That's often the easiest way to explain to staff why a few missing items a day add up.

Where shrink comes from

Checking deliveries against the invoice and logging every write-off are two of the cheapest ways to shrink the number, because they turn unexplained loss into something you can see.

Common questions

What if my count is higher than my records?
That's an overage, and it usually means an error somewhere, like a delivery that wasn't entered, an item rung up under the wrong code, or a mistake in the count. The calculator flags it instead of treating it as good news.
Should I use cost or retail values?
Either works if both inventory numbers use the same one. Using cost tells you the money actually lost. Retail values make shrink look bigger.

Last updated October 11, 2026.